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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.48+1.16vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-0.05+2.52vs Predicted
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3Clemson University1.24-0.55vs Predicted
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4Clemson University-0.29+0.64vs Predicted
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5Duke University-1.25+1.13vs Predicted
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6The Citadel0.20-2.09vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-3.42+1.55vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-0.73-2.56vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.00-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.16North Carolina State University1.480.4%1st Place
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4.52North Carolina State University-0.050.1%1st Place
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2.45Clemson University1.240.3%1st Place
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4.64Clemson University-0.290.1%1st Place
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6.13Duke University-1.250.0%1st Place
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3.91The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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8.55University of North Carolina-3.420.0%1st Place
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5.44University of South Carolina-0.730.0%1st Place
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7.2University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Chase | 38.4% | 29.2% | 17.8% | 9.1% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 5.7% | 9.5% | 14.8% | 18.2% | 19.7% | 17.6% | 10.4% | 4.0% | 0.1% |
| Bryson Eaton | 30.0% | 29.3% | 18.4% | 13.4% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Bergendahl | 7.1% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 19.7% | 18.4% | 13.4% | 4.4% | 0.2% |
| Jack Wigmore | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 26.4% | 22.3% | 4.7% |
| Kenneth Buck | 10.1% | 12.4% | 20.6% | 18.5% | 18.5% | 12.4% | 6.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Megan Miller | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 12.9% | 77.5% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 22.7% | 20.3% | 11.4% | 2.1% |
| Abbi Barnette | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 9.0% | 18.8% | 43.6% | 15.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.