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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.48+1.12vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.94+0.89vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.05+1.33vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.20-0.23vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-0.29-0.43vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina-0.73-0.62vs Predicted
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7Duke University-1.25-0.77vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-3.42+0.50vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.00-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12North Carolina State University1.480.4%1st Place
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2.89Clemson University0.940.2%1st Place
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4.33North Carolina State University-0.050.1%1st Place
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3.77The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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4.57Clemson University-0.290.1%1st Place
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5.38University of South Carolina-0.730.0%1st Place
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6.23Duke University-1.250.0%1st Place
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8.5University of North Carolina-3.420.0%1st Place
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7.2University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Chase | 42.1% | 26.3% | 16.2% | 9.5% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 21.8% | 25.9% | 20.4% | 15.0% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 8.0% | 10.8% | 14.7% | 18.4% | 19.1% | 16.0% | 9.5% | 3.4% | 0.1% |
| Kenneth Buck | 12.4% | 14.7% | 18.7% | 19.5% | 16.1% | 11.2% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Charlie Bergendahl | 7.0% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 16.5% | 17.0% | 17.4% | 11.5% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 16.2% | 21.0% | 21.1% | 10.7% | 1.4% |
| Jack Wigmore | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 16.9% | 29.1% | 22.0% | 4.3% |
| Megan Miller | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 12.2% | 77.0% |
| Abbi Barnette | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 17.9% | 44.2% | 15.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.