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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.94+1.77vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.48+0.20vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.05+1.30vs Predicted
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4Clemson University-0.29+0.58vs Predicted
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5The Citadel0.20-1.21vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-3.42+2.53vs Predicted
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7Duke University-1.25-0.75vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-0.73-2.64vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.00-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77Clemson University0.940.3%1st Place
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2.2North Carolina State University1.480.4%1st Place
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4.3North Carolina State University-0.050.1%1st Place
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4.58Clemson University-0.290.1%1st Place
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3.79The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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8.53University of North Carolina-3.420.0%1st Place
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6.25Duke University-1.250.0%1st Place
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5.36University of South Carolina-0.730.0%1st Place
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7.22University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Hnatt | 26.0% | 21.6% | 22.8% | 15.1% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Chase | 36.8% | 29.3% | 19.0% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 8.3% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 17.8% | 18.4% | 16.8% | 9.2% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Charlie Bergendahl | 7.4% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 16.9% | 18.4% | 17.8% | 13.3% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Kenneth Buck | 12.5% | 16.6% | 17.1% | 17.6% | 15.9% | 11.9% | 6.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Megan Miller | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 5.3% | 12.2% | 77.1% |
| Jack Wigmore | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 17.2% | 28.1% | 22.3% | 4.9% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 12.6% | 16.9% | 19.7% | 20.6% | 10.9% | 1.6% |
| Abbi Barnette | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 15.8% | 46.6% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.