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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University-0.05+3.30vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.48+0.21vs Predicted
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3Clemson University-0.29+1.74vs Predicted
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4Clemson University0.94-1.29vs Predicted
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5University of South Carolina-0.73+0.26vs Predicted
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6The Citadel0.20-2.14vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-3.42+1.53vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.00-0.77vs Predicted
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9Duke University-1.25-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.3North Carolina State University-0.050.1%1st Place
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2.21North Carolina State University1.480.4%1st Place
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4.74Clemson University-0.290.1%1st Place
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2.71Clemson University0.940.3%1st Place
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5.26University of South Carolina-0.730.0%1st Place
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3.86The Citadel0.200.1%1st Place
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8.53University of North Carolina-3.420.0%1st Place
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7.23University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.000.0%1st Place
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6.17Duke University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evelyn Hannah | 8.6% | 10.7% | 15.7% | 16.2% | 20.1% | 16.4% | 9.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Robert Chase | 37.8% | 28.1% | 17.4% | 10.6% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Bergendahl | 6.9% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 15.3% | 17.4% | 20.6% | 14.2% | 4.8% | 0.6% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 25.2% | 26.1% | 21.3% | 13.8% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 4.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 16.1% | 18.8% | 18.6% | 11.1% | 1.8% |
| Kenneth Buck | 12.0% | 13.7% | 16.7% | 20.8% | 16.6% | 12.5% | 6.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Megan Miller | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 4.7% | 13.6% | 76.3% |
| Abbi Barnette | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 8.2% | 17.7% | 44.2% | 16.6% |
| Jack Wigmore | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 10.7% | 17.5% | 27.1% | 22.5% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.