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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.38+1.84vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-0.76+3.15vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University0.11+0.32vs Predicted
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4Clemson University-0.45+0.21vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina-1.20+0.66vs Predicted
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6The Citadel-0.68-1.28vs Predicted
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7Duke University-0.55-2.53vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.76-1.28vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina-2.60-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84Clemson University0.380.3%1st Place
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5.15North Carolina State University-0.760.1%1st Place
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3.32North Carolina State University0.110.2%1st Place
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4.21Clemson University-0.450.1%1st Place
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5.66University of North Carolina-1.200.1%1st Place
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4.72The Citadel-0.680.1%1st Place
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4.47Duke University-0.550.1%1st Place
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6.72University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.760.0%1st Place
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7.92University of South Carolina-2.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Adams | 28.6% | 22.3% | 16.8% | 14.2% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Parks | 6.3% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 15.1% | 15.3% | 11.4% | 4.9% |
| Marc Hauenstein | 20.7% | 20.2% | 17.4% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Neil Bunce | 12.9% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 5.6% | 1.3% |
| Emma Gumny | 5.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 18.9% | 16.3% | 10.5% |
| Henry Parker | 9.9% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 16.9% | 14.4% | 7.6% | 2.6% |
| Ryan Froeb | 10.7% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 16.2% | 14.7% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 1.6% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 15.6% | 29.8% | 20.5% |
| Sam Lookadoo | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 19.8% | 58.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.