← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hampton University1.47+3.29vs Predicted
-
2Princeton University0.27+3.56vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.16+0.61vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Maritime College-0.02+2.83vs Predicted
-
5Rutgers University-0.72+4.19vs Predicted
-
6Rochester Institute of Technology-0.64+2.69vs Predicted
-
7Monmouth University-0.44+0.79vs Predicted
-
8Washington College-0.55+0.54vs Predicted
-
9University of Rochester-0.54-0.36vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.13-3.80vs Predicted
-
11SUNY Stony Brook-0.67-2.39vs Predicted
-
12Princeton University-0.47-3.60vs Predicted
-
13Villanova University-1.49-1.58vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Military Academy-2.69+0.39vs Predicted
-
15Drexel University-1.17-4.23vs Predicted
-
16University of Pittsburgh-2.54-1.80vs Predicted
-
17Stevens Institute of Technology-3.64-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.29Hampton University1.4716.7%1st Place
-
5.56Princeton University0.2710.6%1st Place
-
3.61St. Mary's College of Maryland1.1621.4%1st Place
-
6.83SUNY Maritime College-0.027.0%1st Place
-
9.19Rutgers University-0.723.8%1st Place
-
8.69Rochester Institute of Technology-0.644.0%1st Place
-
7.79Monmouth University-0.445.8%1st Place
-
8.54Washington College-0.554.7%1st Place
-
8.64University of Rochester-0.544.2%1st Place
-
6.2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.138.3%1st Place
-
8.61SUNY Stony Brook-0.673.9%1st Place
-
8.4Princeton University-0.474.5%1st Place
-
11.42Villanova University-1.491.8%1st Place
-
14.39U. S. Military Academy-2.690.4%1st Place
-
10.77Drexel University-1.172.2%1st Place
-
14.2University of Pittsburgh-2.540.5%1st Place
-
15.9Stevens Institute of Technology-3.640.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 16.7% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 10.6% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Haddon | 21.4% | 19.1% | 16.0% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anish Jayewardene | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Kayla Maguire | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Cashin | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Abby Eckert | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Robert Finora | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Julia Gordon | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 8.9% | 1.8% |
| Raymond Shattuck | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 8.9% | 18.8% | 31.1% | 19.2% |
| Charlotte Shaw | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 5.7% | 0.9% |
| Aiden Zurcher | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 22.4% | 27.9% | 15.6% |
| Tristan Feves | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 7.8% | 18.0% | 61.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.