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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1The Citadel-0.68+3.76vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-0.76+3.10vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.38-0.15vs Predicted
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4Duke University-0.55+0.42vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University0.11-1.78vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.76+0.72vs Predicted
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7Clemson University-0.45-2.71vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-1.20-2.28vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina-2.60-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.76The Citadel-0.680.1%1st Place
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5.1North Carolina State University-0.760.1%1st Place
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2.85Clemson University0.380.3%1st Place
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4.42Duke University-0.550.1%1st Place
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3.22North Carolina State University0.110.2%1st Place
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6.72University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.760.0%1st Place
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4.29Clemson University-0.450.1%1st Place
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5.72University of North Carolina-1.200.1%1st Place
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7.92University of South Carolina-2.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Parker | 9.3% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 16.8% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 2.4% |
| Tucker Parks | 6.2% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 17.0% | 15.2% | 9.9% | 4.8% |
| Luke Adams | 28.1% | 21.9% | 18.4% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Froeb | 10.2% | 12.5% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 7.2% | 1.6% |
| Marc Hauenstein | 23.6% | 20.8% | 16.5% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 14.4% | 30.5% | 20.5% |
| Neil Bunce | 11.1% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 16.0% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 5.8% | 1.5% |
| Emma Gumny | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 18.0% | 17.4% | 9.2% |
| Sam Lookadoo | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 8.6% | 17.1% | 59.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.