← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University0.11+2.33vs Predicted
-
2Duke University-0.55+2.68vs Predicted
-
3Clemson University0.38-0.14vs Predicted
-
4The Citadel-0.68+0.62vs Predicted
-
5North Carolina State University-0.76-0.20vs Predicted
-
6Clemson University-0.45-1.74vs Predicted
-
7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.76-0.21vs Predicted
-
8University of North Carolina-1.20-2.28vs Predicted
-
9University of South Carolina-2.60-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.33North Carolina State University0.110.2%1st Place
-
4.68Duke University-0.550.1%1st Place
-
2.86Clemson University0.380.3%1st Place
-
4.62The Citadel-0.680.1%1st Place
-
4.8North Carolina State University-0.760.1%1st Place
-
4.26Clemson University-0.450.1%1st Place
-
6.79University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.760.0%1st Place
-
5.72University of North Carolina-1.200.1%1st Place
-
7.93University of South Carolina-2.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Hauenstein | 21.0% | 18.8% | 17.7% | 16.0% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Froeb | 7.7% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 15.9% | 12.3% | 7.8% | 2.5% |
| Luke Adams | 28.2% | 21.8% | 17.7% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Henry Parker | 10.1% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 8.8% | 1.8% |
| Tucker Parks | 9.3% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 8.5% | 5.3% |
| Neil Bunce | 11.5% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 15.4% | 30.4% | 21.2% |
| Emma Gumny | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 18.0% | 19.3% | 8.3% |
| Sam Lookadoo | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 7.9% | 17.9% | 59.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.