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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University0.11+2.21vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-0.76+2.97vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.38-0.26vs Predicted
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4The Citadel-0.68+0.53vs Predicted
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5Clemson University-0.97+0.05vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-1.20-0.37vs Predicted
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7Duke University-0.55-2.63vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-2.60-0.13vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.76-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21North Carolina State University0.110.2%1st Place
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4.97North Carolina State University-0.760.1%1st Place
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2.74Clemson University0.380.3%1st Place
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4.53The Citadel-0.680.1%1st Place
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5.05Clemson University-0.970.1%1st Place
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5.63University of North Carolina-1.200.1%1st Place
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4.37Duke University-0.550.1%1st Place
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7.87University of South Carolina-2.600.0%1st Place
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6.63University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Hauenstein | 22.5% | 21.4% | 15.9% | 15.7% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Tucker Parks | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 14.7% | 10.6% | 3.7% |
| Luke Adams | 30.5% | 22.4% | 17.5% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Henry Parker | 10.6% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 15.8% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 2.3% |
| Matthew Laufer | 7.6% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 11.6% | 6.0% |
| Emma Gumny | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 17.1% | 17.5% | 7.7% |
| Ryan Froeb | 10.2% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 16.5% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 6.4% | 1.5% |
| Sam Lookadoo | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 15.6% | 59.5% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 16.3% | 28.1% | 19.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.