← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Clemson University-0.97+4.21vs Predicted
-
2The Citadel-0.68+2.83vs Predicted
-
3Duke University-0.55+1.41vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University0.11-0.91vs Predicted
-
5North Carolina State University-0.76-0.32vs Predicted
-
6University of North Carolina-1.20-0.42vs Predicted
-
7University of South Carolina-2.60+0.88vs Predicted
-
8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.76-1.39vs Predicted
-
9Clemson University0.38-6.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.21Clemson University-0.970.1%1st Place
-
4.83The Citadel-0.680.1%1st Place
-
4.41Duke University-0.550.1%1st Place
-
3.09North Carolina State University0.110.2%1st Place
-
4.68North Carolina State University-0.760.1%1st Place
-
5.58University of North Carolina-1.200.1%1st Place
-
7.88University of South Carolina-2.600.0%1st Place
-
6.61University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.760.0%1st Place
-
2.71Clemson University0.380.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Laufer | 7.9% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 17.6% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 5.3% |
| Henry Parker | 7.6% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 15.9% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 3.3% |
| Ryan Froeb | 10.9% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 5.7% | 1.7% |
| Marc Hauenstein | 22.3% | 23.3% | 18.1% | 14.3% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Tucker Parks | 9.9% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 9.5% | 3.2% |
| Emma Gumny | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 18.5% | 18.4% | 5.9% |
| Sam Lookadoo | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 16.2% | 59.4% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 15.6% | 25.6% | 21.0% |
| Luke Adams | 30.9% | 22.8% | 16.7% | 13.4% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.