← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University-0.76+3.68vs Predicted
-
2North Carolina State University0.11+1.25vs Predicted
-
3Clemson University0.38-0.32vs Predicted
-
4The Citadel-0.68+0.47vs Predicted
-
5Clemson University-0.97-0.01vs Predicted
-
6Duke University-0.90-1.05vs Predicted
-
7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.76-0.34vs Predicted
-
8University of South Carolina-2.60-0.19vs Predicted
-
9University of North Carolina-1.20-3.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.68North Carolina State University-0.760.1%1st Place
-
3.25North Carolina State University0.110.2%1st Place
-
2.68Clemson University0.380.3%1st Place
-
4.47The Citadel-0.680.1%1st Place
-
4.99Clemson University-0.970.1%1st Place
-
4.95Duke University-0.900.1%1st Place
-
6.66University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.760.0%1st Place
-
7.81University of South Carolina-2.600.0%1st Place
-
5.51University of North Carolina-1.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker Parks | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 2.9% |
| Marc Hauenstein | 20.1% | 22.0% | 17.6% | 16.0% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Luke Adams | 31.7% | 21.6% | 17.7% | 14.7% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Henry Parker | 10.1% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 16.3% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 7.0% | 2.4% |
| Matthew Laufer | 7.3% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 5.3% |
| Zohar Almani | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 16.5% | 14.7% | 10.3% | 3.8% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 16.8% | 26.3% | 21.0% |
| Sam Lookadoo | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 16.5% | 57.1% |
| Emma Gumny | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 17.5% | 16.7% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.