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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University-0.76+4.04vs Predicted
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2The Citadel1.08+0.26vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University0.11+0.53vs Predicted
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4Clemson University-0.97+1.34vs Predicted
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5Clemson University0.38-1.97vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-1.20-0.19vs Predicted
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7Duke University-0.90-1.71vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-2.60-0.06vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.76-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.04North Carolina State University-0.760.1%1st Place
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2.26The Citadel1.080.4%1st Place
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3.53North Carolina State University0.110.1%1st Place
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5.34Clemson University-0.970.1%1st Place
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3.03Clemson University0.380.2%1st Place
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5.81University of North Carolina-1.200.0%1st Place
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5.29Duke University-0.900.1%1st Place
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7.94University of South Carolina-2.600.0%1st Place
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6.75University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker Parks | 6.7% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 10.7% | 3.1% |
| Alana Hantz | 37.0% | 28.0% | 18.4% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marc Hauenstein | 14.6% | 17.8% | 20.2% | 18.7% | 13.4% | 9.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Laufer | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 5.3% |
| Luke Adams | 22.3% | 23.7% | 18.6% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma Gumny | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 17.7% | 18.5% | 16.5% | 8.4% |
| Zohar Almani | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 13.9% | 16.1% | 16.0% | 17.7% | 11.4% | 4.1% |
| Sam Lookadoo | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 16.3% | 59.8% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 12.3% | 17.0% | 28.8% | 19.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.