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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-0.08+1.76vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University at Galveston0.25+0.32vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-0.91+0.94vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.79-0.22vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.60-1.45vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-2.02-0.54vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-2.84-0.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.76Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-0.080.3%1st Place
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2.32Texas A&M University at Galveston0.250.4%1st Place
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3.94Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-0.910.1%1st Place
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3.78Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.790.1%1st Place
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3.55Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.600.1%1st Place
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5.46Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-2.020.0%1st Place
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6.19Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-2.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Carew | 26.1% | 24.5% | 19.0% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 4.8% | 0.7% |
| Brett Pearson | 35.1% | 26.1% | 21.2% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Maddy Lee | 9.7% | 12.0% | 17.5% | 19.1% | 23.9% | 13.0% | 4.8% |
| Macie Bettis | 11.9% | 13.3% | 16.3% | 20.6% | 21.6% | 13.5% | 2.8% |
| Ethan Polsen | 12.5% | 17.7% | 18.6% | 21.0% | 16.9% | 10.2% | 3.1% |
| Jacob Gergen | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 37.5% | 26.5% |
| Noah Aycock | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 19.2% | 61.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.