← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hampton University1.47+3.16vs Predicted
-
2Princeton University0.27+3.65vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Maritime College-0.02+3.87vs Predicted
-
4University of Rochester-0.54+4.82vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.16-1.46vs Predicted
-
6Washington College-0.55+2.62vs Predicted
-
7Rochester Institute of Technology-0.64+1.68vs Predicted
-
8Monmouth University-0.44-0.27vs Predicted
-
9SUNY Stony Brook-0.67-0.41vs Predicted
-
10Villanova University-1.49+1.50vs Predicted
-
11Rutgers University-0.72-1.65vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Military Academy-2.69+2.31vs Predicted
-
13University of Pittsburgh-2.54+1.03vs Predicted
-
14Stevens Institute of Technology-3.64+1.87vs Predicted
-
15Drexel University-1.17-4.03vs Predicted
-
16Princeton University-0.47-7.95vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.13-10.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.16Hampton University1.4717.3%1st Place
-
5.65Princeton University0.2710.4%1st Place
-
6.87SUNY Maritime College-0.026.2%1st Place
-
8.82University of Rochester-0.544.0%1st Place
-
3.54St. Mary's College of Maryland1.1622.1%1st Place
-
8.62Washington College-0.554.0%1st Place
-
8.68Rochester Institute of Technology-0.644.7%1st Place
-
7.73Monmouth University-0.445.5%1st Place
-
8.59SUNY Stony Brook-0.674.2%1st Place
-
11.5Villanova University-1.491.9%1st Place
-
9.35Rutgers University-0.722.9%1st Place
-
14.31U. S. Military Academy-2.690.6%1st Place
-
14.03University of Pittsburgh-2.540.7%1st Place
-
15.87Stevens Institute of Technology-3.640.4%1st Place
-
10.97Drexel University-1.171.8%1st Place
-
8.05Princeton University-0.474.2%1st Place
-
6.27U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.139.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 17.3% | 17.5% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Abby Eckert | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Henry Haddon | 22.1% | 20.2% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Kayla Maguire | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Cashin | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Julia Gordon | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 15.1% | 8.0% | 2.1% |
| Anish Jayewardene | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Raymond Shattuck | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 9.3% | 18.1% | 31.1% | 18.9% |
| Aiden Zurcher | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 10.2% | 20.8% | 28.1% | 15.0% |
| Tristan Feves | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 8.3% | 16.7% | 62.3% |
| Charlotte Shaw | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 11.7% | 6.9% | 1.1% |
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Robert Finora | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.