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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University at Galveston0.25+1.33vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-0.91+1.91vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-0.08-0.24vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.60-0.49vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.79-1.16vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-2.02-0.54vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-2.84-0.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33Texas A&M University at Galveston0.250.4%1st Place
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3.91Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-0.910.1%1st Place
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2.76Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-0.080.2%1st Place
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3.51Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.600.1%1st Place
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3.84Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.790.1%1st Place
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5.46Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-2.020.0%1st Place
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6.19Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-2.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brett Pearson | 36.7% | 26.1% | 16.2% | 12.1% | 6.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Maddy Lee | 10.1% | 12.5% | 17.1% | 18.9% | 23.2% | 14.2% | 4.0% |
| Nicholas Carew | 23.7% | 25.1% | 20.9% | 16.5% | 9.4% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Ethan Polsen | 15.0% | 15.8% | 18.2% | 19.3% | 19.7% | 9.7% | 2.3% |
| Macie Bettis | 9.6% | 14.7% | 18.4% | 19.3% | 19.7% | 14.1% | 4.2% |
| Jacob Gergen | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 37.0% | 26.8% |
| Noah Aycock | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 19.3% | 61.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.