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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.35+3.01vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.58+0.13vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-1.26+4.63vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.96+1.85vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.67-2.55vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-1.79+1.62vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.42-4.16vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-1.67-0.63vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-1.29-2.37vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-0.73-4.71vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon-2.42-2.08vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-2.14-3.47vs Predicted
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14University of Oregon-4.96-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.01Western Washington University0.350.1%1st Place
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2.13Western Washington University1.580.4%1st Place
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7.63Western Washington University-1.260.0%1st Place
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6.85Western Washington University-0.960.0%1st Place
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3.45University of Washington0.670.2%1st Place
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8.62Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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3.84University of Washington0.420.1%1st Place
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8.37Western Washington University-1.670.0%1st Place
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7.63University of Washington-1.290.0%1st Place
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6.29University of Washington-0.730.0%1st Place
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9.92University of Oregon-2.420.0%1st Place
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9.53Arizona State University-2.140.0%1st Place
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12.74University of Oregon-4.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Turloff | 11.8% | 15.0% | 18.9% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leif Hauge | 41.5% | 28.3% | 15.1% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Beeson | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 0.2% |
| Ella Barnard | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Jaya Wirth | 17.6% | 19.2% | 17.5% | 17.4% | 13.5% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Welker | 0.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 15.9% | 12.9% | 1.0% |
| Brianne Abbott-Rogge | 13.9% | 15.7% | 17.7% | 18.8% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Blaser | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 0.6% |
| Julia Oglevie | 1.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 0.8% |
| Oliver Sommer | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 15.7% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 13.3% | 18.4% | 31.5% | 3.9% |
| Patrick Gardiner | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 20.0% | 25.4% | 3.0% |
| Elaina Berdyck | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 90.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.