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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Washington0.67+1.46vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.42+0.86vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-1.67+4.52vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.73+1.36vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-1.29+1.54vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University1.58-4.87vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.96-1.22vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-2.14+0.38vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University0.35-5.97vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-1.79-2.28vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-1.26-4.57vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-2.42-2.95vs Predicted
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14University of Oregon-4.96-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46University of Washington0.670.2%1st Place
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3.86University of Washington0.420.1%1st Place
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8.52Western Washington University-1.670.0%1st Place
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6.36University of Washington-0.730.0%1st Place
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7.54University of Washington-1.290.0%1st Place
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2.13Western Washington University1.580.4%1st Place
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6.78Western Washington University-0.960.0%1st Place
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9.38Arizona State University-2.140.0%1st Place
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4.03Western Washington University0.350.1%1st Place
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8.72Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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7.43Western Washington University-1.260.0%1st Place
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10.05University of Oregon-2.420.0%1st Place
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12.74University of Oregon-4.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaya Wirth | 15.6% | 21.5% | 18.5% | 16.4% | 13.5% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brianne Abbott-Rogge | 13.5% | 14.9% | 19.4% | 17.2% | 14.2% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Blaser | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 10.8% | 1.0% |
| Oliver Sommer | 3.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Julia Oglevie | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| Leif Hauge | 42.7% | 26.3% | 16.0% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Barnard | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Gardiner | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 19.0% | 24.7% | 1.9% |
| Alexander Turloff | 12.4% | 14.7% | 16.2% | 17.6% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Welker | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 16.3% | 14.7% | 1.5% |
| Jack Beeson | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 12.5% | 18.2% | 34.6% | 4.5% |
| Elaina Berdyck | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 89.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.