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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.67+2.46vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-0.96+4.75vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.58-0.85vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.42-0.07vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-2.14+3.23vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-1.29+0.54vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.73-1.79vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-1.67-0.61vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University0.35-5.99vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-2.07-1.78vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-1.26-4.67vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-2.42-2.95vs Predicted
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14University of Oregon-4.96-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46University of Washington0.670.2%1st Place
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6.75Western Washington University-0.960.0%1st Place
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2.15Western Washington University1.580.4%1st Place
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3.93University of Washington0.420.1%1st Place
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9.23Arizona State University-2.140.0%1st Place
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7.54University of Washington-1.290.0%1st Place
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6.21University of Washington-0.730.0%1st Place
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8.39Western Washington University-1.670.0%1st Place
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4.01Western Washington University0.350.1%1st Place
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9.22Arizona State University-2.070.0%1st Place
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7.33Western Washington University-1.260.0%1st Place
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10.05University of Oregon-2.420.0%1st Place
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12.73University of Oregon-4.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaya Wirth | 16.2% | 19.8% | 20.1% | 16.5% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Barnard | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 15.1% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Leif Hauge | 41.1% | 28.2% | 14.5% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brianne Abbott-Rogge | 13.2% | 14.9% | 17.6% | 16.8% | 15.1% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Gardiner | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 19.1% | 20.7% | 2.3% |
| Julia Oglevie | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 15.5% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 4.9% | 0.3% |
| Oliver Sommer | 4.8% | 4.7% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 14.7% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Blaser | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 10.2% | 0.7% |
| Alexander Turloff | 11.9% | 15.0% | 16.8% | 18.0% | 14.7% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elias Ricken | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 15.8% | 19.4% | 18.8% | 2.5% |
| Jack Beeson | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 13.7% | 17.8% | 33.8% | 4.3% |
| Elaina Berdyck | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 89.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.