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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.58+1.11vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-1.67+6.44vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-1.26+4.54vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.42-0.11vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.67-1.63vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.73+0.23vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-2.14+2.24vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.96-1.27vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University0.35-5.96vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-2.07-2.79vs Predicted
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13University of Washington-1.29-5.58vs Predicted
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14University of Oregon-2.42-3.96vs Predicted
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15University of Oregon-4.96-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.11Western Washington University1.580.4%1st Place
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8.44Western Washington University-1.670.0%1st Place
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7.54Western Washington University-1.260.0%1st Place
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3.89University of Washington0.420.1%1st Place
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3.37University of Washington0.670.2%1st Place
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6.23University of Washington-0.730.0%1st Place
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9.24Arizona State University-2.140.0%1st Place
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6.73Western Washington University-0.960.0%1st Place
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4.04Western Washington University0.350.1%1st Place
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9.21Arizona State University-2.070.0%1st Place
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7.42University of Washington-1.290.0%1st Place
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10.04University of Oregon-2.420.0%1st Place
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12.73University of Oregon-4.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Hauge | 42.3% | 27.2% | 15.1% | 9.9% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Blaser | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 0.8% |
| Jack Beeson | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| Brianne Abbott-Rogge | 12.9% | 15.6% | 18.3% | 17.0% | 15.0% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jaya Wirth | 18.6% | 19.7% | 19.3% | 15.5% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Sommer | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Gardiner | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 19.9% | 20.6% | 2.1% |
| Ella Barnard | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Turloff | 10.9% | 14.8% | 18.3% | 17.7% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elias Ricken | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 17.6% | 20.5% | 2.1% |
| Julia Oglevie | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 18.8% | 33.3% | 4.8% |
| Elaina Berdyck | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 4.9% | 89.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.