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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.41+1.66vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-1.33+5.02vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-1.22+3.77vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-2.32+6.34vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.82+0.67vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-1.71+2.53vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-2.61+4.19vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-2.24+2.18vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-1.01-2.91vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.94-3.97vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-1.43-3.38vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-1.43-4.26vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-1.54-4.81vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-2.01-4.59vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University-3.18-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66Western Washington University0.410.4%1st Place
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7.02Western Washington University-1.330.1%1st Place
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6.77University of Washington-1.220.1%1st Place
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10.34Western Washington University-2.320.0%1st Place
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5.67University of Washington-0.820.1%1st Place
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8.53Western Washington University-1.710.0%1st Place
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11.19Arizona State University-2.610.0%1st Place
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10.18University of Oregon-2.240.0%1st Place
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6.09University of Oregon-1.010.1%1st Place
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6.03University of Washington-0.940.1%1st Place
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7.62University of Washington-1.430.1%1st Place
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7.74University of Washington-1.430.0%1st Place
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8.19Western Washington University-1.540.0%1st Place
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9.41Arizona State University-2.010.0%1st Place
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12.55Western Washington University-3.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton Lovett | 35.3% | 24.1% | 15.6% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shaynan Montenegro | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Ava Butterfield | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Kathryn Drennan | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 12.6% |
| Jeffrey Kriegh | 10.5% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sofia Brown Patrico | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 2.7% |
| Christopher Moore | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 18.5% | 18.5% |
| Dylan Zink | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 9.8% |
| Rowan Clinch | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Tillie Jane LeRoy | 5.4% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Renee Chien | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Addison Dunn | 3.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 2.0% |
| Noah Lovelace | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 6.2% |
| Erica Stavnem | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 16.8% | 42.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.