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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-0.82+4.52vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-1.71+6.31vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.41-0.35vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-1.33+3.17vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.94+1.07vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-3.18+6.64vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-1.01-0.79vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-1.43-0.45vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-1.54-1.16vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-2.01-0.51vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-1.43-3.46vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-1.22-4.92vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-2.61-1.57vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-2.32-3.62vs Predicted
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15University of Oregon-2.24-4.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.52University of Washington-0.820.1%1st Place
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8.31Western Washington University-1.710.0%1st Place
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2.65Western Washington University0.410.3%1st Place
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7.17Western Washington University-1.330.1%1st Place
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6.07University of Washington-0.940.1%1st Place
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12.64Western Washington University-3.180.0%1st Place
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6.21University of Oregon-1.010.1%1st Place
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7.55University of Washington-1.430.1%1st Place
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7.84Western Washington University-1.540.0%1st Place
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9.49Arizona State University-2.010.0%1st Place
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7.54University of Washington-1.430.1%1st Place
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7.08University of Washington-1.220.1%1st Place
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11.43Arizona State University-2.610.0%1st Place
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10.38Western Washington University-2.320.0%1st Place
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10.12University of Oregon-2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Kriegh | 10.8% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Sofia Brown Patrico | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 2.5% |
| Dalton Lovett | 34.1% | 24.5% | 16.1% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shaynan Montenegro | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 8.5% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Erica Stavnem | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 18.2% | 42.2% |
| Rowan Clinch | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Renee Chien | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Addison Dunn | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Noah Lovelace | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 6.3% |
| Tillie Jane LeRoy | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Ava Butterfield | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Moore | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 20.1% | 20.7% |
| Kathryn Drennan | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 11.0% |
| Dylan Zink | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.