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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.41+1.69vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-1.54+5.79vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.82+2.51vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-1.01+2.15vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-1.43+2.64vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.94-0.05vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-1.33+0.19vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-1.22-1.13vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-1.43-1.55vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-2.01-0.50vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-2.24-0.82vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-2.61-0.51vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-2.32-2.41vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-1.71-5.54vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University-3.18-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69Western Washington University0.410.4%1st Place
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7.79Western Washington University-1.540.0%1st Place
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5.51University of Washington-0.820.1%1st Place
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6.15University of Oregon-1.010.1%1st Place
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7.64University of Washington-1.430.1%1st Place
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5.95University of Washington-0.940.1%1st Place
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7.19Western Washington University-1.330.1%1st Place
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6.87University of Washington-1.220.1%1st Place
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7.45University of Washington-1.430.0%1st Place
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9.5Arizona State University-2.010.0%1st Place
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10.18University of Oregon-2.240.0%1st Place
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11.49Arizona State University-2.610.0%1st Place
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10.59Western Washington University-2.320.0%1st Place
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8.46Western Washington University-1.710.0%1st Place
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12.55Western Washington University-3.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton Lovett | 35.3% | 24.3% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Addison Dunn | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Jeffrey Kriegh | 9.8% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Clinch | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Tillie Jane LeRoy | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 7.8% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Shaynan Montenegro | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Ava Butterfield | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Renee Chien | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Noah Lovelace | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 5.5% |
| Dylan Zink | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 11.7% |
| Christopher Moore | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 13.8% | 19.8% | 19.9% |
| Kathryn Drennan | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 12.6% |
| Sofia Brown Patrico | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.1% |
| Erica Stavnem | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 16.2% | 41.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.