← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.13+5.32vs Predicted
-
2Hampton University1.47+2.27vs Predicted
-
3Monmouth University-0.44+4.81vs Predicted
-
4Princeton University-0.47+4.39vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.16-1.44vs Predicted
-
6Princeton University0.27-0.56vs Predicted
-
7SUNY Maritime College-0.02-0.36vs Predicted
-
8Washington College-0.55+0.38vs Predicted
-
9Rochester Institute of Technology-0.64-0.50vs Predicted
-
10Drexel University-0.85-0.47vs Predicted
-
11SUNY Stony Brook-0.67-2.43vs Predicted
-
12University of Rochester-0.54-3.39vs Predicted
-
13Villanova University-1.49-1.86vs Predicted
-
14Rutgers University-1.50-2.67vs Predicted
-
15University of Pittsburgh-2.54-0.91vs Predicted
-
16Stevens Institute of Technology-3.64-0.05vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Military Academy-2.69-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.32U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.138.2%1st Place
-
4.27Hampton University1.4717.4%1st Place
-
7.81Monmouth University-0.445.5%1st Place
-
8.39Princeton University-0.474.4%1st Place
-
3.56St. Mary's College of Maryland1.1621.4%1st Place
-
5.44Princeton University0.2710.5%1st Place
-
6.64SUNY Maritime College-0.027.6%1st Place
-
8.38Washington College-0.554.4%1st Place
-
8.5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.644.8%1st Place
-
9.53Drexel University-0.853.1%1st Place
-
8.57SUNY Stony Brook-0.673.5%1st Place
-
8.61University of Rochester-0.544.3%1st Place
-
11.14Villanova University-1.491.9%1st Place
-
11.33Rutgers University-1.502.1%1st Place
-
14.09University of Pittsburgh-2.540.4%1st Place
-
15.95Stevens Institute of Technology-3.640.0%1st Place
-
14.46U. S. Military Academy-2.690.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Finora | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 17.4% | 17.0% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Cashin | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Henry Haddon | 21.4% | 19.6% | 16.0% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Austin Latimer | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Maguire | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Randle | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Abby Eckert | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Julia Gordon | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 7.0% | 1.5% |
| Marlon Wool | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 15.1% | 8.6% | 1.6% |
| Aiden Zurcher | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 19.8% | 28.2% | 14.5% |
| Tristan Feves | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 17.5% | 61.9% |
| Raymond Shattuck | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 17.6% | 31.5% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.