← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii2.38+3.94vs Predicted
-
2San Diego State University2.11+3.78vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University3.39-0.24vs Predicted
-
4University of Southern California1.48+3.90vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-0.33vs Predicted
-
6California Poly Maritime Academy1.75+1.14vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Irvine0.27+5.01vs Predicted
-
8University of California at San Diego1.09+1.10vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Santa Cruz1.35-1.55vs Predicted
-
11University of Washington1.32-2.62vs Predicted
-
12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-2.47vs Predicted
-
13Arizona State University0.64-2.21vs Predicted
-
14California State University Channel Islands0.42-2.38vs Predicted
-
15University of California at San Diego0.18-2.57vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Berkeley0.71-5.45vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Davis0.57-5.90vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Los Angeles-1.38-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.94University of Hawaii2.380.1%1st Place
-
5.78San Diego State University2.110.1%1st Place
-
2.76Stanford University3.390.3%1st Place
-
7.9University of Southern California1.480.0%1st Place
-
4.67University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
-
7.14California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
-
12.01University of California at Irvine0.270.0%1st Place
-
9.1University of California at San Diego1.090.0%1st Place
-
8.45University of California at Santa Cruz1.350.0%1st Place
-
8.38University of Washington1.320.0%1st Place
-
9.53Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
-
10.79Arizona State University0.640.0%1st Place
-
11.62California State University Channel Islands0.420.0%1st Place
-
12.43University of California at San Diego0.180.0%1st Place
-
10.55University of California at Berkeley0.710.0%1st Place
-
11.1University of California at Davis0.570.0%1st Place
-
15.83University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 12.6% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Nyenhuis | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 31.0% | 24.4% | 17.1% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Henry Boeger | 13.1% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Arin Bekem | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 6.1% |
| Allie Shand | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Brian Fitzsimmons | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Stone | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Garrett Henderson | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Juan Casal | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 3.4% |
| Sterling Maggard | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 5.9% |
| Brendan O'Connor | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 21.5% | 7.7% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 2.8% |
| Dylan Wondolleck | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 3.6% |
| Conrad Kistler | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 67.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.