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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.48+6.69vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.39+0.73vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine0.27+8.99vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.51+0.78vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University0.64+5.67vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego1.09+3.37vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University2.11-1.18vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+0.20vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.64+1.03vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-4.10vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego0.18+0.37vs Predicted
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13University of Washington1.32-4.55vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis0.57-2.87vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii2.38-9.87vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands0.42-4.49vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz1.35-8.56vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-1.38-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.69University of Southern California1.480.1%1st Place
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2.73Stanford University3.390.3%1st Place
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11.99University of California at Irvine0.270.0%1st Place
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4.78University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
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10.67Arizona State University0.640.0%1st Place
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9.37University of California at San Diego1.090.0%1st Place
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5.82San Diego State University2.110.1%1st Place
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9.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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11.03University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
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6.9California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.1%1st Place
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12.37University of California at San Diego0.180.0%1st Place
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8.45University of Washington1.320.0%1st Place
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11.13University of California at Davis0.570.0%1st Place
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5.13University of Hawaii2.380.1%1st Place
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11.51California State University Channel Islands0.420.0%1st Place
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8.44University of California at Santa Cruz1.350.0%1st Place
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15.81University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudson Mayfield | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 31.2% | 24.7% | 18.0% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arin Bekem | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 16.9% | 6.8% |
| Henry Boeger | 13.9% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Casal | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 3.1% |
| Allie Shand | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Noah Nyenhuis | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Henderson | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Carsten Zieger | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 3.1% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Brendan O'Connor | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 20.5% | 8.4% |
| Benjamin Stone | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Dylan Wondolleck | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 4.4% |
| Erik Anderson | 11.6% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Maggard | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 5.0% |
| Brian Fitzsimmons | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Conrad Kistler | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 11.2% | 67.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.