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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.79+1.42vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.66+5.96vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.03+3.64vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07+6.27vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.58-0.12vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University0.17+3.57vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+1.24vs Predicted
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8University of Washington1.10-1.72vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.19-3.02vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+0.60vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California0.64-3.04vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University0.32-2.74vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-1.22+0.88vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-0.43-2.60vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.71-2.44vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-2.08+0.09vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.46-2.23vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine-0.66-5.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.42Stanford University2.790.4%1st Place
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7.96University of California at Berkeley0.660.0%1st Place
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6.64University of Hawaii1.030.1%1st Place
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10.27California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.0%1st Place
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4.88Western Washington University1.580.1%1st Place
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9.57San Diego State University0.170.0%1st Place
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8.24University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.0%1st Place
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6.28University of Washington1.100.1%1st Place
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5.98University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.1%1st Place
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10.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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7.96University of Southern California0.640.1%1st Place
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9.26Arizona State University0.320.0%1st Place
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13.88University of California at Los Angeles-1.220.0%1st Place
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11.4University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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12.56University of California at San Diego-0.710.0%1st Place
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16.09California State University Channel Islands-2.080.0%1st Place
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14.77University of California at San Diego-1.460.0%1st Place
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12.25University of California at Irvine-0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 38.5% | 23.3% | 17.7% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Cornell | 2.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Everett McAvoy | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Leif Hauge | 12.8% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Blake Roberts | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Danny Juan | 6.8% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Reid | 6.8% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| Morgana Manti | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Matt Grimsley | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Rigel Mummers | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 21.9% | 12.4% |
| Braedon Hansen | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 5.4% | 2.9% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 4.9% |
| Brent Lin | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 11.2% | 17.4% | 49.4% |
| Alex Bussey | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 15.8% | 20.3% | 23.2% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.