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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.16+2.46vs Predicted
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2Hampton University1.47+2.35vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.64+5.71vs Predicted
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4Princeton University0.27+1.47vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.47+3.14vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.13+0.19vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College-0.02-0.38vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester-0.54+0.64vs Predicted
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9Washington College-0.55-0.66vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-0.85-0.71vs Predicted
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11Villanova University-1.49+0.40vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University-0.44-4.03vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.67-4.42vs Predicted
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14University of Pittsburgh-2.54+0.06vs Predicted
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15Rutgers University-1.50-3.49vs Predicted
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16Stevens Institute of Technology-3.64-0.15vs Predicted
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17U. S. Military Academy-2.69-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46St. Mary's College of Maryland1.1622.4%1st Place
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4.35Hampton University1.4716.1%1st Place
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8.71Rochester Institute of Technology-0.643.6%1st Place
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5.47Princeton University0.2711.7%1st Place
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8.14Princeton University-0.473.9%1st Place
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6.19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.138.2%1st Place
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6.62SUNY Maritime College-0.027.4%1st Place
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8.64University of Rochester-0.542.9%1st Place
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8.34Washington College-0.555.0%1st Place
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9.29Drexel University-0.854.1%1st Place
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11.4Villanova University-1.491.8%1st Place
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7.97Monmouth University-0.445.1%1st Place
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8.58SUNY Stony Brook-0.674.2%1st Place
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14.06University of Pittsburgh-2.540.7%1st Place
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11.51Rutgers University-1.501.9%1st Place
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15.85Stevens Institute of Technology-3.640.2%1st Place
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14.4U. S. Military Academy-2.690.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Haddon | 22.4% | 20.3% | 16.0% | 13.8% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 16.1% | 15.8% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Maguire | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Jasper Waldman | 11.7% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Robert Finora | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Abby Eckert | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Austin Latimer | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Randle | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Julia Gordon | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 7.5% | 2.2% |
| Patrick Cashin | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Aiden Zurcher | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 20.5% | 28.3% | 14.9% |
| Marlon Wool | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 14.7% | 8.1% | 2.2% |
| Tristan Feves | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 8.6% | 18.4% | 59.1% |
| Raymond Shattuck | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 9.2% | 18.6% | 30.0% | 20.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.