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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.79+1.35vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.58+2.81vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+5.18vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.03+2.21vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07+5.07vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University0.17+3.27vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.19-1.20vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.12+1.40vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+1.13vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University0.32-1.04vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.71+1.47vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.43-0.29vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley0.66-5.52vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-0.66-1.99vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-1.22-1.03vs Predicted
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16University of Southern California0.64-8.36vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-2.08-0.93vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.46-3.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35Stanford University2.790.4%1st Place
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4.81Western Washington University1.580.1%1st Place
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8.18University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.0%1st Place
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6.21University of Hawaii1.030.1%1st Place
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10.07California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.0%1st Place
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9.27San Diego State University0.170.0%1st Place
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5.8University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.1%1st Place
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9.4University of Washington0.120.0%1st Place
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10.13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.96Arizona State University0.320.0%1st Place
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12.47University of California at San Diego-0.710.0%1st Place
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11.71University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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7.48University of California at Berkeley0.660.1%1st Place
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12.01University of California at Irvine-0.660.0%1st Place
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13.97University of California at Los Angeles-1.220.0%1st Place
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7.64University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
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16.07California State University Channel Islands-2.080.0%1st Place
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14.48University of California at San Diego-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 39.4% | 25.7% | 15.6% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leif Hauge | 9.5% | 13.9% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Everett McAvoy | 7.0% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Jasper Reid | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lhotse Rowell | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Matt Grimsley | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 6.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 3.5% |
| Will Cornell | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 4.4% |
| Rigel Mummers | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 15.1% | 17.8% | 14.7% |
| Morgana Manti | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Brent Lin | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 16.8% | 50.0% |
| Alex Bussey | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 23.3% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.