← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.79+1.46vs Predicted
-
2San Diego State University1.23+4.14vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii1.03+3.73vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Cruz0.65+3.79vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Berkeley0.66+2.74vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Barbara1.19+0.07vs Predicted
-
7University of California at San Diego-0.71+5.58vs Predicted
-
8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+2.30vs Predicted
-
9University of Southern California0.64-1.18vs Predicted
-
10Arizona State University0.32-0.74vs Predicted
-
11Western Washington University1.58-5.94vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Irvine-0.66+0.70vs Predicted
-
13California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07-2.70vs Predicted
-
14University of Washington0.12-4.50vs Predicted
-
15California State University Channel Islands-2.08+1.07vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Los Angeles-1.22-1.83vs Predicted
-
17University of California at San Diego-1.46-2.18vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Davis-0.43-6.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.46Stanford University2.790.4%1st Place
-
6.14San Diego State University1.230.1%1st Place
-
6.73University of Hawaii1.030.1%1st Place
-
7.79University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.1%1st Place
-
7.74University of California at Berkeley0.660.1%1st Place
-
6.07University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.1%1st Place
-
12.58University of California at San Diego-0.710.0%1st Place
-
10.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
-
7.82University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
-
9.26Arizona State University0.320.0%1st Place
-
5.06Western Washington University1.580.1%1st Place
-
12.7University of California at Irvine-0.660.0%1st Place
-
10.3California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.0%1st Place
-
9.5University of Washington0.120.0%1st Place
-
16.07California State University Channel Islands-2.080.0%1st Place
-
14.17University of California at Los Angeles-1.220.0%1st Place
-
14.82University of California at San Diego-1.460.0%1st Place
-
11.48University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 37.1% | 25.3% | 15.0% | 10.5% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 6.3% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Everett McAvoy | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Olson | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Will Cornell | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Reid | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 10.1% | 4.9% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matt Grimsley | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Leif Hauge | 12.2% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 4.6% |
| Sam Jennings | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Lhotse Rowell | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Brent Lin | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 17.9% | 47.0% |
| Rigel Mummers | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 18.8% | 15.8% |
| Alex Bussey | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 15.2% | 21.0% | 23.4% |
| Braedon Hansen | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.