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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.79+1.46vs Predicted
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2San Diego State University1.23+4.09vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.58+1.99vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.66+3.73vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California0.64+2.83vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.65+1.92vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+3.40vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.12+1.67vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-0.43+2.64vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara1.19-3.73vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University0.32-1.90vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii1.03-5.16vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-0.66-0.64vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.22-0.11vs Predicted
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15California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07-4.63vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.71-3.33vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-2.08-0.86vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.46-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.46Stanford University2.790.4%1st Place
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6.09San Diego State University1.230.1%1st Place
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4.99Western Washington University1.580.1%1st Place
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7.73University of California at Berkeley0.660.0%1st Place
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7.83University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
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7.92University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.0%1st Place
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10.4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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9.67University of Washington0.120.0%1st Place
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11.64University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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6.27University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.1%1st Place
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9.1Arizona State University0.320.0%1st Place
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6.84University of Hawaii1.030.1%1st Place
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12.36University of California at Irvine-0.660.0%1st Place
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13.89University of California at Los Angeles-1.220.0%1st Place
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10.37California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.0%1st Place
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12.67University of California at San Diego-0.710.0%1st Place
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16.14California State University Channel Islands-2.080.0%1st Place
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14.62University of California at San Diego-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 36.5% | 25.1% | 15.6% | 11.1% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 6.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leif Hauge | 10.5% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Cornell | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Morgana Manti | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Colin Olson | 4.5% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Lhotse Rowell | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Braedon Hansen | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| Jasper Reid | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Grimsley | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Everett McAvoy | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nikita Swatek | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 5.1% |
| Rigel Mummers | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 19.7% | 13.2% |
| Sam Jennings | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 6.0% |
| Brent Lin | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 17.5% | 50.5% |
| Alex Bussey | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 22.7% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.