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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.47+3.59vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.16+1.74vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22+0.90vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College-0.02+3.09vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.27+0.70vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology-0.64+2.84vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.47+1.56vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-0.72+1.54vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University-0.44-1.04vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-0.67-1.04vs Predicted
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11University of Rochester-0.54-2.00vs Predicted
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12Washington College-0.55-3.18vs Predicted
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13Drexel University-0.85-3.19vs Predicted
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14Villanova University-1.49-2.30vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-2.69-0.40vs Predicted
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16University of Pittsburgh-2.54-1.80vs Predicted
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17Stevens Institute of Technology-3.64-1.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.59Hampton University1.4713.2%1st Place
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3.74St. Mary's College of Maryland1.1622.0%1st Place
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3.9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.2219.2%1st Place
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7.09SUNY Maritime College-0.025.9%1st Place
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5.7Princeton University0.2710.1%1st Place
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8.84Rochester Institute of Technology-0.642.5%1st Place
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8.56Princeton University-0.473.5%1st Place
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9.54Rutgers University-0.722.3%1st Place
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7.96Monmouth University-0.444.9%1st Place
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8.96SUNY Stony Brook-0.673.4%1st Place
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9.0University of Rochester-0.543.6%1st Place
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8.82Washington College-0.553.8%1st Place
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9.81Drexel University-0.853.1%1st Place
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11.7Villanova University-1.491.5%1st Place
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14.6U. S. Military Academy-2.690.4%1st Place
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14.2University of Pittsburgh-2.540.4%1st Place
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15.98Stevens Institute of Technology-3.640.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 13.2% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Haddon | 22.0% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lars Osell | 19.2% | 17.2% | 16.2% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Waldman | 10.1% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Maguire | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Anish Jayewardene | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Cashin | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Abby Eckert | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Randle | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Julia Gordon | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 15.8% | 16.8% | 7.5% | 2.2% |
| Raymond Shattuck | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 18.3% | 33.1% | 20.5% |
| Aiden Zurcher | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 22.9% | 28.0% | 15.1% |
| Tristan Feves | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 8.1% | 20.5% | 61.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.