← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii1.09+4.72vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University2.08+1.10vs Predicted
-
3University of Southern California0.46+4.65vs Predicted
-
4San Diego State University-0.19+5.53vs Predicted
-
5University of California at San Diego-1.71+9.05vs Predicted
-
6California Poly Maritime Academy0.33+1.89vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.40-2.32vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Berkeley0.20+0.27vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Cruz0.48-1.64vs Predicted
-
10University of Washington0.43-2.24vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Davis-0.72+0.50vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Santa Barbara1.42-7.14vs Predicted
-
13Western Washington University0.08-4.40vs Predicted
-
14Arizona State University-0.75-2.73vs Predicted
-
15University of California at San Diego-1.99-0.10vs Predicted
-
16California State University Channel Islands-2.04-0.89vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Los Angeles-2.06-1.84vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Irvine-1.53-4.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.72University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
-
3.1Stanford University2.080.2%1st Place
-
7.65University of Southern California0.460.0%1st Place
-
9.53San Diego State University-0.190.0%1st Place
-
14.05University of California at San Diego-1.710.0%1st Place
-
7.89California Poly Maritime Academy0.330.0%1st Place
-
4.68Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.400.1%1st Place
-
8.27University of California at Berkeley0.200.0%1st Place
-
7.36University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.1%1st Place
-
7.76University of Washington0.430.1%1st Place
-
11.5University of California at Davis-0.720.0%1st Place
-
4.86University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.1%1st Place
-
8.6Western Washington University0.080.0%1st Place
-
11.27Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
-
14.9University of California at San Diego-1.990.0%1st Place
-
15.11California State University Channel Islands-2.040.0%1st Place
-
15.16University of California at Los Angeles-2.060.0%1st Place
-
13.59University of California at Irvine-1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whidden | 23.8% | 23.3% | 19.2% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Conze | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Gormely | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 18.4% | 12.4% |
| Owen Cuyler | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Headington | 13.9% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wilton Lawton | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Ted McDonough | 14.5% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gerber | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 15.7% | 18.8% | 22.0% |
| Seraphee de Labaca | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 16.6% | 18.5% | 25.6% |
| Orion Spatafora | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 19.7% | 26.8% |
| Brayden Money | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 16.1% | 13.3% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.