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📊 Prediction Accuracy
14.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.76+3.19vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.05+1.48vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+1.91vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.10+2.63vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California-0.60+3.75vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33+1.53vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-1.60+6.80vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.54+5.67vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-1.24+2.91vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-1.73+4.78vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-2.15+5.78vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-2.22+5.13vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-2.04+3.28vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara-1.23-2.41vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-2.78+4.88vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-1.67-1.96vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine-1.70-2.65vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-1.79-3.38vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-1.79-4.19vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-1.96-4.11vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.64-7.23vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-2.88-2.17vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-2.60-4.32vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles-2.74-4.04vs Predicted
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25University of California at Davis-3.43-2.47vs Predicted
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26University of California at Los Angeles-2.72-6.81vs Predicted
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27Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.64-7.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.19University of California at Santa Cruz0.760.2%1st Place
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3.48University of California at Santa Barbara1.050.2%1st Place
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4.91Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.1%1st Place
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6.63University of California at San Diego-0.100.1%1st Place
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8.75University of Southern California-0.600.1%1st Place
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7.53University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.1%1st Place
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13.8University of California at Berkeley-1.600.0%1st Place
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13.67Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.540.0%1st Place
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11.91Arizona State University-1.240.0%1st Place
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14.78University of California at Berkeley-1.730.0%1st Place
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16.78University of California at Los Angeles-2.150.0%1st Place
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17.13University of California at Irvine-2.220.0%1st Place
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16.28San Diego State University-2.040.0%1st Place
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11.59University of California at Santa Barbara-1.230.0%1st Place
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19.88California State University Channel Islands-2.780.0%1st Place
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14.04San Diego State University-1.670.0%1st Place
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14.35University of California at Irvine-1.700.0%1st Place
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14.62Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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14.81Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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15.89University of California at San Diego-1.960.0%1st Place
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13.77Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.640.0%1st Place
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19.83University of California at Davis-2.880.0%1st Place
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18.68University of California at San Diego-2.600.0%1st Place
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19.96University of California at Los Angeles-2.740.0%1st Place
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22.53University of California at Davis-3.430.0%1st Place
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19.19University of California at Los Angeles-2.720.0%1st Place
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19.04Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buster Baylis | 17.6% | 15.0% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Skerrett | 22.6% | 21.0% | 15.9% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 11.9% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lara Granucci | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bianca Weber | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Claire Wiley | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Hirz | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Ramblas | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Phineas Fritsch | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Matthew Stank | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Jonah Eckerman | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 11.5% |
| Juan Alcala | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Erin Welker | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Camden Wacha | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Adem Evecek | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Noa Brassfield | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 10.5% |
| Nate Powers | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% |
| Luke Graham | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 10.4% |
| Tristan Meyer | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 15.4% | 30.4% |
| Kevin Lu | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% |
| Pike Williams | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.