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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.05+2.53vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+2.88vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California-0.60+6.09vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-1.24+7.76vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-1.60+8.69vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.76-2.10vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.10-0.37vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33-0.29vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-1.73+5.56vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara-1.23+2.17vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.54+2.45vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-2.22+5.11vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-1.70+1.39vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-1.79+0.49vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University-2.04+1.03vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-1.67-1.92vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-2.78+2.94vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-2.15-1.34vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-2.74+0.89vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-1.79-5.03vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.64-7.20vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-2.88-2.09vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-2.60-4.31vs Predicted
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24University of California at San Diego-1.96-8.15vs Predicted
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25University of California at Davis-3.43-2.45vs Predicted
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26Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.64-7.20vs Predicted
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27University of California at Los Angeles-2.72-7.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.53University of California at Santa Barbara1.050.2%1st Place
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4.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.1%1st Place
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9.09University of Southern California-0.600.0%1st Place
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11.76Arizona State University-1.240.0%1st Place
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13.69University of California at Berkeley-1.600.0%1st Place
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3.9University of California at Santa Cruz0.760.2%1st Place
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6.63University of California at San Diego-0.100.1%1st Place
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7.71University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.1%1st Place
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14.56University of California at Berkeley-1.730.0%1st Place
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12.17University of California at Santa Barbara-1.230.0%1st Place
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13.45Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.540.0%1st Place
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17.11University of California at Irvine-2.220.0%1st Place
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14.39University of California at Irvine-1.700.0%1st Place
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14.49Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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16.03San Diego State University-2.040.0%1st Place
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14.08San Diego State University-1.670.0%1st Place
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19.94California State University Channel Islands-2.780.0%1st Place
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16.66University of California at Los Angeles-2.150.0%1st Place
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19.89University of California at Los Angeles-2.740.0%1st Place
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14.97Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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13.8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.640.0%1st Place
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19.91University of California at Davis-2.880.0%1st Place
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18.69University of California at San Diego-2.600.0%1st Place
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15.85University of California at San Diego-1.960.0%1st Place
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22.55University of California at Davis-3.430.0%1st Place
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18.8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.640.0%1st Place
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19.46University of California at Los Angeles-2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Skerrett | 21.9% | 18.4% | 17.7% | 13.7% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 14.4% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lara Granucci | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Hirz | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bianca Weber | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Buster Baylis | 18.5% | 18.8% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Ramblas | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% |
| Jonah Eckerman | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Claire Wiley | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Stank | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Erin Welker | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% |
| Juan Alcala | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 11.3% |
| Phineas Fritsch | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Luke Graham | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 8.6% |
| Camden Wacha | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Noa Brassfield | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 11.2% |
| Nate Powers | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% |
| Adem Evecek | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Tristan Meyer | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 14.3% | 31.9% |
| Pike Williams | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% |
| Kevin Lu | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.