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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley-1.60+13.15vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles-2.74+17.97vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.76+1.22vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.05-0.61vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.10+1.64vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49-1.27vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.54+6.42vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-1.79+7.02vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-1.24+2.91vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33-2.20vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University-1.67+3.12vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-1.70+2.30vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-2.15+3.80vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands-2.78+5.77vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley-1.73-0.70vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara-1.23-4.28vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine-2.22+0.09vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.64-4.17vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-1.79-4.21vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.64-0.54vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-1.96-5.51vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-2.60-3.46vs Predicted
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23University of California at Davis-2.88-2.97vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles-2.72-4.27vs Predicted
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25University of Southern California-0.60-16.37vs Predicted
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26University of California at Davis-3.43-3.69vs Predicted
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27San Diego State University-2.04-11.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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14.15University of California at Berkeley-1.600.0%1st Place
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19.97University of California at Los Angeles-2.740.0%1st Place
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4.22University of California at Santa Cruz0.760.2%1st Place
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3.39University of California at Santa Barbara1.050.3%1st Place
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6.64University of California at San Diego-0.100.1%1st Place
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4.73Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.1%1st Place
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13.42Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.540.0%1st Place
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15.02Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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11.91Arizona State University-1.240.0%1st Place
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7.8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.0%1st Place
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14.12San Diego State University-1.670.0%1st Place
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14.3University of California at Irvine-1.700.0%1st Place
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16.8University of California at Los Angeles-2.150.0%1st Place
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19.77California State University Channel Islands-2.780.0%1st Place
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14.3University of California at Berkeley-1.730.0%1st Place
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11.72University of California at Santa Barbara-1.230.0%1st Place
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17.09University of California at Irvine-2.220.0%1st Place
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13.83Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.640.0%1st Place
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14.79Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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19.46Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.640.0%1st Place
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15.49University of California at San Diego-1.960.0%1st Place
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18.54University of California at San Diego-2.600.0%1st Place
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20.03University of California at Davis-2.880.0%1st Place
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19.73University of California at Los Angeles-2.720.0%1st Place
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8.63University of Southern California-0.600.0%1st Place
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22.31University of California at Davis-3.430.0%1st Place
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15.83San Diego State University-2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bianca Weber | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Luke Graham | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.9% |
| Buster Baylis | 15.7% | 17.5% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Skerrett | 25.9% | 18.2% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 13.5% | 11.7% | 16.1% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Claire Wiley | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Erin Welker | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Gavin Hirz | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Hunter Holguin | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Alcala | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Phineas Fritsch | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% |
| Aidan Ramblas | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Jonah Eckerman | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Stank | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Noa Brassfield | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Camden Wacha | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Pike Williams | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 8.3% |
| Adem Evecek | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Nate Powers | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 5.5% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 13.3% |
| Kevin Lu | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% |
| Lara Granucci | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristan Meyer | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 14.1% | 30.5% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.