← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University0.38+1.08vs Predicted
-
2Middlebury College0.03+0.38vs Predicted
-
3University of Connecticut-0.80+0.49vs Predicted
-
4Williams College-1.49+0.06vs Predicted
-
5McGill University-0.44-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.08Brown University0.3837.8%1st Place
-
2.38Middlebury College0.0328.3%1st Place
-
3.49University of Connecticut-0.8010.9%1st Place
-
4.06Williams College-1.496.0%1st Place
-
2.99McGill University-0.4416.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Case | 37.8% | 31.4% | 19.1% | 8.5% | 3.2% |
| Walter Chiles | 28.3% | 28.6% | 24.4% | 14.0% | 4.6% |
| Ryan Treat | 10.9% | 12.7% | 19.2% | 31.1% | 26.1% |
| Caleb Kohn | 6.0% | 7.6% | 12.4% | 21.8% | 52.1% |
| Eben Dooling | 16.9% | 19.7% | 24.8% | 24.6% | 14.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.