Race 5A

north-points-3

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Cody Shevitz 12.6% 12.6% 11.4% 14.3% 14.0% 13.2% 9.6% 6.1% 3.2% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
Patrick Soper 16.1% 17.7% 14.0% 16.2% 12.7% 7.8% 8.4% 4.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Michael Lazzaro 8.8% 6.8% 11.5% 10.0% 10.6% 11.2% 14.4% 12.3% 8.5% 3.6% 1.8% 0.5%
Samuel Harrison 14.4% 15.8% 13.8% 14.8% 11.7% 12.0% 7.0% 6.2% 2.5% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Eliza Richartz 22.1% 18.8% 17.2% 12.7% 11.2% 7.2% 5.4% 3.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Cowley 6.5% 9.2% 7.4% 8.2% 10.4% 13.0% 14.1% 12.1% 9.4% 6.9% 2.4% 0.4%
Bradley Schoch 11.3% 9.4% 11.9% 10.8% 12.9% 11.6% 11.4% 9.2% 6.7% 3.3% 1.1% 0.4%
Janet Rumsey 1.0% 1.4% 2.4% 2.4% 3.6% 3.5% 3.1% 8.4% 10.8% 14.2% 21.7% 27.5%
Lauren Amery 2.2% 2.6% 2.9% 4.4% 4.5% 8.6% 10.2% 12.1% 16.5% 16.3% 12.4% 7.3%
Ashley Eberhard 2.3% 1.8% 3.7% 2.7% 3.6% 4.3% 6.4% 10.8% 14.7% 18.4% 17.6% 13.7%
Christopher Hagerman 1.2% 1.2% 0.9% 1.4% 2.1% 2.9% 4.0% 5.2% 9.1% 14.6% 21.1% 36.3%
Gregory Hodges 1.5% 2.7% 2.9% 2.1% 2.7% 4.7% 6.0% 10.6% 14.3% 17.8% 21.0% 13.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.