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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+6.40vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.52+6.25vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.79+3.87vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.36+4.36vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.17+0.77vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.16+4.73vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92+2.87vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.19-3.66vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin0.36+2.26vs Predicted
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10University of Texas-0.67+5.26vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida0.99-0.54vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.84-5.27vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College1.71-6.06vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.37-1.19vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83-4.11vs Predicted
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16Fordham University0.80-5.48vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University0.01-3.80vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii0.47-6.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.636.8%1st Place
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8.25Old Dominion University1.525.0%1st Place
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6.87Cornell University1.798.5%1st Place
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8.36Boston College1.365.3%1st Place
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5.77Harvard University2.1712.3%1st Place
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10.73University of Pennsylvania1.162.9%1st Place
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9.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.923.8%1st Place
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4.34Stanford University2.1918.4%1st Place
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11.26University of Wisconsin0.362.9%1st Place
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15.26University of Texas-0.670.9%1st Place
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10.46University of South Florida0.993.8%1st Place
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6.73Bowdoin College1.849.3%1st Place
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6.94Dartmouth College1.718.0%1st Place
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12.81Boston University0.371.6%1st Place
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10.89St. Mary's College of Maryland0.832.7%1st Place
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10.52Fordham University0.803.3%1st Place
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13.2North Carolina State University0.012.1%1st Place
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11.35University of Hawaii0.472.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Brock | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Marina Conde | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Sophia Devling | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sara Schumann | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 12.3% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 3.7% |
| Deana Fedulova | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Sophie Fisher | 18.4% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 5.7% |
| Kate Lyon | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 14.3% | 43.0% |
| Kalea Woodard | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 2.9% |
| Lauren Russler | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 12.6% |
| Lina Carper | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% |
| Rebecca Keller | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.2% |
| Lyla Solway | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 16.2% | 15.6% |
| Malia Johnson | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.