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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.47+3.45vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22+1.93vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College-0.02+4.10vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.64+4.96vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.27+0.85vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-0.44+2.17vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester-0.54+1.96vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-0.72+1.54vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.47-0.27vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland1.16-6.12vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-0.67-2.14vs Predicted
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12Washington College-0.55-3.37vs Predicted
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13Drexel University-0.85-3.33vs Predicted
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14Villanova University-1.49-2.35vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-2.69-0.52vs Predicted
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16University of Pittsburgh-2.54-1.80vs Predicted
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17Stevens Institute of Technology-3.64-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.45Hampton University1.4715.2%1st Place
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3.93U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.2219.5%1st Place
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7.1SUNY Maritime College-0.025.5%1st Place
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8.96Rochester Institute of Technology-0.643.8%1st Place
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5.85Princeton University0.279.7%1st Place
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8.17Monmouth University-0.444.2%1st Place
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8.96University of Rochester-0.544.0%1st Place
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9.54Rutgers University-0.723.5%1st Place
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8.73Princeton University-0.473.4%1st Place
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3.88St. Mary's College of Maryland1.1618.1%1st Place
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8.86SUNY Stony Brook-0.674.0%1st Place
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8.63Washington College-0.553.6%1st Place
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9.67Drexel University-0.852.9%1st Place
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11.65Villanova University-1.491.7%1st Place
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14.48U. S. Military Academy-2.690.5%1st Place
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14.2University of Pittsburgh-2.540.4%1st Place
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15.91Stevens Institute of Technology-3.640.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 15.2% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lars Osell | 19.5% | 17.4% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Maguire | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Jasper Waldman | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Cashin | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Abby Eckert | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Anish Jayewardene | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Lorenzen | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Henry Haddon | 18.1% | 17.8% | 16.5% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Austin Latimer | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Randle | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Julia Gordon | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 15.7% | 16.2% | 9.1% | 2.2% |
| Raymond Shattuck | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 18.7% | 30.6% | 21.2% |
| Aiden Zurcher | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 21.8% | 29.6% | 15.3% |
| Tristan Feves | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 8.0% | 19.4% | 60.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.