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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.67+1.13vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.18+0.81vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.60+2.26vs Predicted
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4Amherst College1.69+1.19vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.74-1.54vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.99-1.35vs Predicted
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7Bentley University0.92-0.64vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.03-3.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.13Tufts University3.670.4%1st Place
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2.81University of Vermont3.180.2%1st Place
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5.26Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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5.19Amherst College1.690.1%1st Place
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3.46Bowdoin College2.740.1%1st Place
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4.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.990.1%1st Place
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6.36Bentley University0.920.0%1st Place
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6.14Northeastern University1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Weigel | 41.5% | 26.5% | 17.8% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 22.7% | 26.0% | 21.1% | 15.2% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Barry | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 17.6% | 20.1% | 12.9% |
| Johannes Raatz | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 13.6% | 16.8% | 19.1% | 18.3% | 11.7% |
| Tom Peabody | 13.8% | 18.6% | 20.8% | 19.7% | 14.2% | 8.5% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Jacob Tronaas | 7.0% | 7.8% | 14.7% | 16.3% | 18.2% | 16.8% | 12.1% | 7.1% |
| Tyler Durant | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 22.0% | 38.3% |
| Colin Henderson | 2.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 12.4% | 18.3% | 22.5% | 29.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.