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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46+3.46vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.22+5.79vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.14+2.21vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy0.33+5.98vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-0.85vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.35-1.43vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University1.23+0.57vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.39-0.98vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.55-4.92vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-3.77vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.10+0.32vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.81+1.34vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-1.25+1.09vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University-0.34-2.25vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.00+0.79vs Predicted
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16University of Washington-1.04-2.25vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-2.08-1.02vs Predicted
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18University of Southern California-1.19-4.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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7.79George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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5.21Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
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9.98California Poly Maritime Academy0.330.0%1st Place
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4.15University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.2%1st Place
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4.57Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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7.57San Diego State University1.230.0%1st Place
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7.02Tulane University1.390.1%1st Place
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4.08Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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6.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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11.32University of California at San Diego-0.100.0%1st Place
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13.34University of Washington-0.810.0%1st Place
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14.09University of California at Berkeley-1.250.0%1st Place
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11.75Northwestern University-0.340.0%1st Place
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15.79Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.000.0%1st Place
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13.75University of Washington-1.040.0%1st Place
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15.98California State University Channel Islands-2.080.0%1st Place
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13.93University of Southern California-1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Anderson | 13.8% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Lech | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Cuyler | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Henry Boeger | 17.3% | 17.1% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Zils | 13.0% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 15.7% | 17.8% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 9.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Alice Meng | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 10.6% | 3.5% |
| Emerson Marquez | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 10.8% |
| Cole Abbott | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Mira Shupe | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 20.7% | 32.0% |
| Enzo Dougherty | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 6.1% |
| Brent Lin | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 13.6% | 19.8% | 38.0% |
| Ava Bergan | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.