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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+5.31vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46+2.32vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.47+4.14vs Predicted
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4Fordham University0.99+4.32vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.14+0.04vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.39+1.28vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.55-2.94vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.22-0.36vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-1.25+5.59vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University1.23-2.10vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy0.33-0.41vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.00+4.20vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University-0.34-0.78vs Predicted
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14University of Washington-0.81-0.65vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.10-3.32vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-11.81vs Predicted
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17University of Washington-1.04-2.87vs Predicted
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18California State University Channel Islands-2.08-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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4.32St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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7.14University of Southern California1.470.0%1st Place
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8.32Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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5.04Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
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7.28Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
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4.06Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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7.64George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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14.59University of California at Berkeley-1.250.0%1st Place
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7.9San Diego State University1.230.0%1st Place
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10.59California Poly Maritime Academy0.330.0%1st Place
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16.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.000.0%1st Place
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12.22Northwestern University-0.340.0%1st Place
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13.35University of Washington-0.810.0%1st Place
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11.68University of California at San Diego-0.100.0%1st Place
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4.19University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.2%1st Place
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14.13University of Washington-1.040.0%1st Place
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16.04California State University Channel Islands-2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Zylinski | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Anderson | 14.3% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Harris | 4.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Lech | 13.3% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 18.5% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emerson Marquez | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 19.9% | 19.1% | 9.5% |
| Aston Smith | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Cuyler | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Mira Shupe | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 12.7% | 22.2% | 40.2% |
| Cole Abbott | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 1.2% |
| Alice Meng | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 16.9% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 4.4% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 16.1% | 11.3% | 6.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Henry Boeger | 16.7% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Dougherty | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 15.9% | 19.1% | 15.2% | 7.2% |
| Brent Lin | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 24.4% | 36.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.