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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.51+3.57vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46+2.65vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.55+1.44vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.35+0.81vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+1.40vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.14-0.59vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.47+0.33vs Predicted
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8Tulane University1.39-0.59vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University1.23-1.04vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy0.33+0.82vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.22-2.81vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-1.04+2.41vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.00+2.94vs Predicted
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14University of Washington-0.81-0.52vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley-1.25-0.36vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.10-4.07vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University-0.34-4.46vs Predicted
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18California State University Channel Islands-2.08-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.57University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.1%1st Place
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4.65St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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4.44Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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4.81Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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6.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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5.41Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
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7.33University of Southern California1.470.1%1st Place
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7.41Tulane University1.390.1%1st Place
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7.96San Diego State University1.230.0%1st Place
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10.82California Poly Maritime Academy0.330.0%1st Place
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8.19George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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14.41University of Washington-1.040.0%1st Place
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15.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.000.0%1st Place
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13.48University of Washington-0.810.0%1st Place
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14.64University of California at Berkeley-1.250.0%1st Place
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11.93University of California at San Diego-0.100.0%1st Place
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12.54Northwestern University-0.340.0%1st Place
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16.07California State University Channel Islands-2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Boeger | 13.9% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Anderson | 12.9% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 14.0% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Zils | 13.8% | 15.0% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Lech | 10.1% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Harris | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Cuyler | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Dougherty | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 16.3% | 10.2% |
| Mira Shupe | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 23.3% | 34.3% |
| Alice Meng | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 16.6% | 8.9% | 5.1% |
| Emerson Marquez | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 11.9% | 15.9% | 18.5% | 17.5% | 11.5% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Cole Abbott | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 16.9% | 10.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Brent Lin | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 13.6% | 26.0% | 35.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.