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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46+3.74vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.35+2.98vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.14+2.51vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+2.37vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.39+2.48vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.51-1.58vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.47+0.32vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.22-0.06vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.55-4.72vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University1.23-1.78vs Predicted
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11California Poly Maritime Academy0.33-0.23vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-1.04+2.40vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-1.25+1.54vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.00+1.91vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.10-3.19vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University-0.34-3.45vs Predicted
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17University of Washington-0.81-3.31vs Predicted
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18California State University Channel Islands-2.08-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.74St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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4.98Fordham University2.350.1%1st Place
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5.51Boston College2.140.1%1st Place
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6.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.1%1st Place
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7.48Tulane University1.390.0%1st Place
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4.42University of California at Santa Barbara2.510.2%1st Place
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7.32University of Southern California1.470.1%1st Place
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7.94George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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4.28Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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8.22San Diego State University1.230.1%1st Place
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10.77California Poly Maritime Academy0.330.0%1st Place
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14.4University of Washington-1.040.0%1st Place
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14.54University of California at Berkeley-1.250.0%1st Place
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15.91Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.000.0%1st Place
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11.81University of California at San Diego-0.100.0%1st Place
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12.55Northwestern University-0.340.0%1st Place
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13.69University of Washington-0.810.0%1st Place
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16.07California State University Channel Islands-2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Anderson | 12.9% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Zils | 10.4% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Lech | 10.1% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Zylinski | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oakley Cunningham | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 15.9% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Harris | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 15.7% | 16.0% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Cuyler | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Enzo Dougherty | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 18.4% | 16.9% | 9.2% |
| Emerson Marquez | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 18.5% | 17.5% | 12.1% |
| Mira Shupe | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 20.7% | 33.8% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Cole Abbott | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
| Alice Meng | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 15.0% | 18.2% | 16.1% | 10.9% | 4.9% |
| Brent Lin | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 24.0% | 37.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.