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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.38+2.14vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.86+2.35vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.09+3.50vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara0.67+3.92vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii0.40+3.61vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.64+1.94vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii-0.46+2.98vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.05-2.51vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49-1.76vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.15-4.60vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California0.64-4.13vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-3.19vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.56-9.93vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.71-2.39vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-2.19-2.58vs Predicted
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18Rutgers University-2.34-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.14University of Hawaii2.380.3%1st Place
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4.35University of South Florida1.860.2%1st Place
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6.5University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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7.92University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.0%1st Place
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8.61University of Hawaii0.400.0%1st Place
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7.94University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
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10.98University of Hawaii-0.460.0%1st Place
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6.49University of California at Santa Barbara1.050.1%1st Place
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8.24Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.0%1st Place
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6.4University of South Florida1.150.1%1st Place
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7.87University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
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9.81Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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5.07University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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13.61University of California at San Diego-1.710.0%1st Place
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14.42University of California at Davis-2.190.0%1st Place
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14.66Rutgers University-2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 27.6% | 20.7% | 16.3% | 12.7% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 17.2% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Malia Johnson | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Carsten Zieger | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 13.8% | 20.1% | 17.5% | 6.7% | 1.5% |
| Julian Skerrett | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Grace Jones | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Kailey Warrior | 10.2% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 26.1% | 27.6% | 17.4% |
| Juliette Cramer | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 6.0% | 15.3% | 31.0% | 37.0% |
| Karolina Debniak | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 6.1% | 13.4% | 28.1% | 43.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.