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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.73+0.53vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.19+1.00vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97+0.25vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.14+0.41vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.98-0.36vs Predicted
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6Amherst College-0.49+0.44vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.55-1.75vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-1.67-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.53Tufts University3.730.6%1st Place
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3.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.190.1%1st Place
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3.25Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.1%1st Place
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4.41Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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4.64University of Vermont0.980.0%1st Place
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6.44Amherst College-0.490.0%1st Place
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5.25Northeastern University0.550.0%1st Place
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7.49Bentley University-1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 62.9% | 25.1% | 8.9% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Simon | 14.1% | 26.7% | 25.2% | 17.9% | 12.3% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 11.1% | 22.6% | 25.8% | 20.0% | 12.9% | 6.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Mende | 4.7% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 21.2% | 21.6% | 20.2% | 7.5% | 1.1% |
| Chris Mangieri | 3.7% | 7.3% | 12.9% | 20.3% | 22.2% | 22.1% | 10.2% | 1.3% |
| Alex Dion | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 9.9% | 16.8% | 42.8% | 20.5% |
| Olin Nelson | 2.4% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 18.0% | 27.1% | 20.9% | 4.3% |
| Craig Timoney | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 16.4% | 72.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.