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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.38+2.03vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii-0.46+8.51vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.56+1.91vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.09+2.36vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02+4.44vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+1.94vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara0.67+0.49vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.86-3.92vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.15-3.01vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California0.64-4.48vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.71+0.26vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara1.05-7.70vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-2.19-0.82vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii0.40-7.89vs Predicted
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17Rutgers University-1.33-4.35vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley-2.18-3.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03University of Hawaii2.380.3%1st Place
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10.51University of Hawaii-0.460.0%1st Place
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4.91University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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6.36University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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9.44Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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7.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.0%1st Place
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7.49University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.1%1st Place
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4.08University of South Florida1.860.2%1st Place
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5.99University of South Florida1.150.1%1st Place
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7.52University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
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13.26University of California at San Diego-1.710.0%1st Place
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6.3University of California at Santa Barbara1.050.1%1st Place
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14.18University of California at Davis-2.190.0%1st Place
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8.11University of Hawaii0.400.0%1st Place
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12.65Rutgers University-1.330.0%1st Place
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14.23University of California at Berkeley-2.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 27.5% | 22.7% | 16.8% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 15.0% | 17.1% | 11.7% | 4.9% | 1.3% |
| Kailey Warrior | 11.7% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 5.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 6.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Jack Kisling | 4.5% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 16.3% | 16.0% | 17.5% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Jones | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 19.5% | 24.1% | 19.0% |
| Julian Skerrett | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juliette Cramer | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 16.5% | 23.7% | 35.2% |
| Malia Johnson | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Martin | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 18.0% | 23.8% | 17.8% | 8.9% |
| Dante Drolet | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 9.3% | 15.2% | 26.1% | 35.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.