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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.38+2.01vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.05+4.22vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.09+3.22vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii-0.46+6.69vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii0.40+3.21vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+1.96vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.15-0.90vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.86-4.92vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.56-5.12vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-2.58vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara0.67-5.58vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-2.19+0.18vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.71-1.64vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.33-3.47vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley-2.18-2.79vs Predicted
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18University of Southern California0.64-10.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.01University of Hawaii2.380.3%1st Place
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6.22University of California at Santa Barbara1.050.1%1st Place
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6.22University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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10.69University of Hawaii-0.460.0%1st Place
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8.21University of Hawaii0.400.0%1st Place
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7.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.0%1st Place
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6.1University of South Florida1.150.1%1st Place
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4.08University of South Florida1.860.2%1st Place
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4.88University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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9.42Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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7.42University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.1%1st Place
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14.18University of California at Davis-2.190.0%1st Place
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13.36University of California at San Diego-1.710.0%1st Place
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12.53Rutgers University-1.330.0%1st Place
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14.21University of California at Berkeley-2.180.0%1st Place
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7.49University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 27.5% | 21.9% | 17.7% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Skerrett | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 15.9% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 5.5% | 1.3% |
| Malia Johnson | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Jack Kisling | 4.1% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Grace Jones | 7.0% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 16.7% | 16.8% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kailey Warrior | 12.3% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Juliette Cramer | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 16.0% | 25.0% | 34.7% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 8.0% | 14.3% | 22.1% | 21.9% | 17.8% |
| Andrew Martin | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 17.3% | 20.1% | 16.9% | 9.4% |
| Dante Drolet | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 26.3% | 36.2% |
| Morgana Manti | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.