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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.86+3.45vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.47+3.57vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.05+3.80vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.56+1.45vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.38-1.63vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.15+0.60vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+1.54vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.09-1.36vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara0.67-1.07vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii-0.46+0.20vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-2.11vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii0.40-5.29vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley0.64-6.96vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-2.19-1.62vs Predicted
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17Rutgers University-2.34-2.37vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.71-4.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.45University of South Florida1.860.2%1st Place
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5.57University of Southern California1.470.1%1st Place
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6.8University of California at Santa Barbara1.050.1%1st Place
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5.45University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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3.37University of Hawaii2.380.2%1st Place
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6.6University of South Florida1.150.1%1st Place
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8.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.0%1st Place
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6.64University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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7.93University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.0%1st Place
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11.2University of Hawaii-0.460.0%1st Place
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9.89Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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8.71University of Hawaii0.400.0%1st Place
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8.04University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
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14.38University of California at Davis-2.190.0%1st Place
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14.63Rutgers University-2.340.0%1st Place
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13.81University of California at San Diego-1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kay Brunsvold | 16.0% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Harris | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Skerrett | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kailey Warrior | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 24.9% | 19.8% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Jones | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 21.9% | 16.5% | 7.9% | 0.9% |
| Florence Duff | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 17.8% | 8.7% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Malia Johnson | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Carsten Zieger | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Juliette Cramer | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 18.2% | 30.9% | 33.8% |
| Karolina Debniak | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 14.7% | 25.9% | 45.4% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 25.9% | 28.9% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.