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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.47+4.52vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.38+1.34vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.56+2.32vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.15+2.63vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.05+1.80vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.86-2.38vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.09-1.19vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.64-1.08vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara0.67-3.10vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii-0.46-0.83vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-3.08vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii0.40-5.25vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49-6.54vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-2.34-1.41vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.71-3.25vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-2.19-3.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.52University of Southern California1.470.1%1st Place
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3.34University of Hawaii2.380.3%1st Place
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5.32University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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6.63University of South Florida1.150.1%1st Place
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6.8University of California at Santa Barbara1.050.1%1st Place
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4.62University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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6.81University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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7.92University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
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7.9University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.0%1st Place
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11.17University of Hawaii-0.460.0%1st Place
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9.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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8.75University of Hawaii0.400.0%1st Place
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8.46Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.0%1st Place
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14.59Rutgers University-2.340.0%1st Place
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13.75University of California at San Diego-1.710.0%1st Place
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14.5University of California at Davis-2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Harris | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 25.1% | 21.9% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kailey Warrior | 11.1% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Jones | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Skerrett | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 14.7% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carsten Zieger | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 21.7% | 17.1% | 7.4% | 1.0% |
| Florence Duff | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 17.0% | 9.4% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Malia Johnson | 3.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jack Kisling | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Karolina Debniak | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 15.9% | 29.0% | 40.6% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 26.6% | 28.5% | 19.9% |
| Juliette Cramer | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 16.0% | 29.6% | 37.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.