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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.38+1.84vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.05+4.09vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+4.87vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.64+3.55vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.56-0.26vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.94+0.59vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii-0.46+3.75vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara0.67-0.76vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii0.40-0.87vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.40-2.77vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.15-6.12vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii0.28-4.52vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-4.53vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-2.19-1.67vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-2.62-2.11vs Predicted
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18Rutgers University-1.33-5.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84University of Hawaii2.380.3%1st Place
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6.09University of California at Santa Barbara1.050.1%1st Place
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7.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.0%1st Place
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7.55University of Southern California0.640.0%1st Place
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4.74University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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6.59University of South Florida0.940.1%1st Place
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10.75University of Hawaii-0.460.0%1st Place
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7.24University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.0%1st Place
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8.13University of Hawaii0.400.0%1st Place
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8.23University of California at Berkeley0.400.0%1st Place
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5.88University of South Florida1.150.1%1st Place
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8.48University of Hawaii0.280.0%1st Place
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9.47Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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14.33University of California at Davis-2.190.0%1st Place
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14.89University of California at San Diego-2.620.0%1st Place
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12.91Rutgers University-1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 31.8% | 23.6% | 16.8% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Skerrett | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Morgana Manti | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kailey Warrior | 12.6% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ghislaine van Empel | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 19.4% | 16.7% | 7.4% | 1.4% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Malia Johnson | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Katherine Olsen | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Grace Jones | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kees Horn | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Florence Duff | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Juliette Cramer | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 6.3% | 14.1% | 37.1% | 30.9% |
| Maria Gunness | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 7.7% | 23.9% | 56.9% |
| Andrew Martin | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 13.3% | 26.8% | 23.1% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.